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本文为《新西兰先驱报》2月12日文章，原题：对华贸易很重要，我们不应在美中争端中选边站
作者：菲利普·伯顿，新西兰前贸易部长、新西兰亚洲基金会创始人
The post-war global economy has been characterised by a continuous, albeit uneven commitment to trade liberalisation. The reality is that as a result of global trade liberalisation the world has enjoyed unparalleled growth in global prosperity along with the remarkable expansion of the Asian economies.
More specifically, New Zealand has been the exceptional beneficiary of the Asian economic miracle.
In 2018, New Zealand's two-way trade with China was worth $26.1 billion with a $3.6b trade surplus. NZ two-way trade with the United States was $6.999b with a trade deficit of $109 million.
贸易自由化令全球繁荣前所未有，亚洲经济体也出现非凡增长。而新西兰一直是亚洲经济奇迹的极大受益者。2018年新西兰与中国的双边贸易为261亿新西兰元，贸易顺差36亿。新西兰与美国的双边贸易为69亿新西兰元，却有1亿贸易逆差。
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Complementary to the Asian economic renaissance has been the emergence of China as a major global economic power committed to modern technological innovation at every level. Having dominated the global economy for the post-war period, the US has taken fright, and we are now witnessing a sharp retreat to protectionist thinking as it attempts to contain the reality of China.
It is clear the US now has little sympathy for the globalisation initiatives of the post-war period that have been the life blood of the New Zealand economy. In the meantime "America First" is a defensive and unsympathetic reality of the current US trade policy.
The tactics as personified in the personage of US President Donald Trump are heavy handed and offensive to friends and foes alike. His full-throated abuse and intimidation of China is an intriguing aspect and the prospect of China tolerating, let alone capitulating to such behaviour, is highly unlikely.
China understandably remains deeply conscious of historical Western humiliation and is unlikely to sympathetically tolerate President Trump's behaviour.
与亚洲经济复兴相辅相成的，是中国成长为全球经济大国并投身于各个层面的现代化与科技创新。而美国在向保护主义大幅退缩的同时，却试图遏制中国。全球化是新西兰经济赖以生存的血液，但现在美国对此毫不感冒。特朗普不遗余力抨击、恐吓中国的行为耐人寻味，中国则不太可能容忍、更不用说屈服了。
We must assume that the relationship, already toxic, can only get worse.
The implications for New Zealand are dangerous at every level. Because of our exceptional trade dependency, New Zealand is particularly vulnerable to trade discrimination by the major players.
We have to be very careful to avoid a partisan involvement in the current dispute as both countries are very capable of trade retaliation if they feel they are being unreasonably treated.
Northern Asia and China in particular have become the salvation and lifeline of the New Zealand economy and will continue to be so.
Of course we share common cause with the democratic values of the Western world. We do not agree with China's attitude to human rights and civil liberties but this does not justify us demonising China in the way that the present US administration is attempting to do.
这些对新西兰的影响是危险的。由于我们对贸易严重依赖，特别容易受到大国贸易争端冲击。我们必须小心避免偏袒一方而卷入当前纷争，因为若觉得自己受到不公对待，中美两国都很有可能报复。如今，东北亚尤其是中国，已成为新西兰经济的救星和生命线，且今后仍将如此。诚然，我们与美国有着西方共同的民主价值观，但不能因此就像美现政府想要做的那样妖魔化中国。
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We must not allow ourselves to become a pawn for American strategic thinking in what is very likely going to become an increasingly acrimonious and adversarial relationship. China is not going to compromise its determination to economically expand and develop. China is already a major economic power and will become more so.
China now regards the Asia Pacific region as a legitimate area of economic and strategic influence and this is a reality that we must acknowledge.
美国战略思维主导下的对华关系可能日益不睦、敌对，新西兰绝不能沦为美国这种战略思维的走卒。中国已决定在经济上扩张发展，这种决心是不可能妥协的。中国如今视亚太为自己的经济和战略影响力地区，这是我们必须承认的现实。
China has sought to constructively engage with New Zealand, for which we should be grateful. It is utterly ridiculous to suggest China has sinister plans to subvert and interfere in our society or for that matter our democratic institutions.
These are realities that we should respect. We are witnessing a repositioning of global trade authority that is fundamental and far-reaching, and it is not appropriate to join with the US in demonising, or for that matter containing, China.
中国与新西兰建设性接触，对此我们应心存感激。认为中国有不可告人的计划，试图颠覆、干涉新西兰社会或民主制度的说法荒谬之极。我们目睹全球贸易权威的根本性深远变化，配合美国妖魔化或遏制中国显然是不合时宜的。
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We must remain neutral, with friendly and constructive relationships with both sides. In practical terms we have a reversal of the traditional post-war world order, with the US moving to an increasingly self-serving and aggressive protectionist trade policy that is confrontational and aggressive to friend and foe alike.
We also have China which, while similarly self-serving and nationalistic about advancing its own self interest, is an increasingly important and significant player in the global economy and, in sharp contrast to the US, is actively liberalising its economy - albeit not as fast as some might like.
For New Zealand, Northern Asia and China are now more important economically and will continue to become so. We must not take sides. At the same time we clearly need to commit ourselves to the cause of trade liberalisation and the integration of the global economy while respectfully and realistically acknowledging China's entitlement to a comprehensive and responsible strategic and economic engagement in the region.
我们必须保持中立。传统世界秩序在逆转，美国采取日益自私的贸易政策，无论对敌对友都咄咄逼人。与此同时，中国在全球经济中正扮演日益重要的角色。中国对新西兰的经济愈加重要，今后仍会这样。我们绝不要选边站，要尊重现实，承认中国有权在地区进行全面和负责任的战略与经济接触。
来源：环球时报
编译：陈俊安
编译原文：
http://oversea.huanqiu.com/article/2019-02/14305442.html?agt=61
英文原文：
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=12202986
